Breyer was quick to publish the Quelle Surprise run numbers right after BreyerFest this year. In case you have not seen it, here are the numbers (from breyerhorses.com.)

“Each model was created as a matte as well as a glossy, however only 120 glossy models of each color exist! The number of pieces for each matte model is different: 280 of the Perlino, 780 of the Buckskin Tobiano Pinto, 560 of the Bay Appaloosa, and 960 of the Chestnut Overo Pinto.”

By releasing this information early, the amount of time for speculation and unfounded bidding wars was definitely limited. At last check (Aug 12, 2015) the number of Quelle Surprise models available on eBay.com was pretty thin. There were just 39 listings all together, with only 2 of the glossy buckskin and chestnuts, and 1 glossy appaloosa open for bid. There were no glossy perlino and only 2 of the matte version available. Also interesting, there were four times as many matte chestnuts available as there were the matte appy or buckskin.

So how does this relate to their value going forward? I believe that these models will always be in demand as they are on a popular mold (Lonesome Glory) and the colors are well done. I went and pulled the sold prices from as far back as the last days of BreyerFest to see how they have fluctuated and are now starting to trend. Charting the values of the glossy models gives an interesting perspective of the aftermarket trend immediately following BreyerFest.

Glossy Chestnut

Glossy Perlino

Glossy Buckskin

Glossy Appaloosa

Also notice that there were almost twice as many glossy perlino models available in this time frame as there were the other 3 variations. It will be interesting to see how long this trend continues and where it will top out. The matte versions have started to level out as well, as of the 2nd week in Aug, the sold values are as follows:

Matte Chestnut, $80-$100
Matte Perlino, $190-$220
Matte Buckskin, $120-$140
Matte Appaloosa, $140-$160

We’ll have to revisit these values in a few months to see if their current values hold, or if they will decline once the newness wears off. What do you think will happen?

I hope this information helps you with your collection of Quelle Surprise models. If you have any questions or comments about these values, please feel free to comment. Thanks for reading!

Image courtesy of BreyerHorses.com.